Saturday, May 23, 2015

NBA Conference Final Predictions - Game 3

  I split my Game two predictions in the NBA conference finals and in gambling splitting is losing. I Predicted the Warriors would cover the 10.5 point spread but the Rockets covered easily and nearly won the game after being eight points down with two minutes left. The Cavaliers-Hawks game looked to go over the 198 point over /under and make me a double loser until a 26 point 4th quarter left gave me my first round two win. I dropped another 10 mythical dollars to leave myself $135 in the red heading into this weekends games. There's no reason to go crazy in my bets but I'll be staying away from the point spreads for now as I attempt to get back to the plus side using the familiar lines for entertainment purposes only.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets – Game 3 Saturday
The Rockets are a one point underdog at home. The Warriors have been barely good enough to win the first two games in taking a 2-0 lead. I don't see the Rockets trying to match the Warriors in a shootout and have noticed that the Warriors have not been scoring at the same pace they have in the regular season. I expect that both teams will make defensive adjustments to keep the ball away from superstars Stephen Curry and James Harden. Even though the over/under line has dropped to 215 from Game two's 220 I'll take the under of 215 and will bet $110 to win $100 on a relatively low scoring game as both sides try to limit the touches of the other team's best player.

Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers – Game 3 Sunday
Despite having all-star guard Kyrie Irving missing for Game 2, the Cavaliers controlled the pace and slowed the game down in a surprisingly easy win. The Hawks offense is out of sync and they seemingly have no way to guard LeBron James. I suspect Hawks head coach Mike Budenholzer will try to get his team back into the series by amping up the pace to attempt to wear James out by the fourth quarter. I expect to see a lot of guards Jeff Teague and Dennis Schroder on the court together in an attempt to force more turnovers and get more fast break points. I'll gp for this game to be fairly high scoring and will take the over of 190 for $110 to win $100.

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